Global Economic Outlook 2019: New directions and changing tides?


IBA Japan SeminarEconomy & Geopolitics

Is the global economy sliding toward a recession? Or was the market volatility of late 2018 just a bump on the road to an orderly slowing to growth?

We are pleased to welcome back S&P Global Ratings Chief Economist Dr. Paul Gruenwald, who will sharing his insights and research on key global economic issues and developments. Paul will explore the background, impact and potential change in direction of current economic and
geopolitical activities. He will also analyze and delve into the consequences these developments are having in the region, and the industry, and share his views.

In his presentation he will include a discussion on:

  • An escalation of the US-China trade war.
  • The path of interest rate normalization led by the U.S. Federal Reserve.
  • Brexit and other geopolitical tensions.

Paul Gruenwald

Paul Gruenwald is the Chief Economist at S&P Global Ratings. Based in New York, he leads the economic research agenda and serves as the primary spokesperson on macro-economic matters for the company.

Before joining S&P Global Ratings in 2013, Paul spent almost five years at the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) as the Asia Pacific Chief Economist, where he was responsible for helping set and direct ANZ’s Asian and global economic research agenda, as well as building the bank’s economic research efforts and profile in the region. Previously, Paul worked at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for nearly 16 years, where he led the team producing the IMF’s Asian regional outlook reports. He was also the IMF Resident Representative to Hong Kong and Korea, the Deputy Chief of the China Division, and did considerable work on both public (Paris Club) and private (London Club) debt restructuring issues.

Paul has a Ph.D. in Economics from Columbia University and a bachelor’s degree in Economics/Mathematics from the University of Texas.


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